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Julie B
BlackRock is watching whether the US Iran energy shock is starting to feed into inflation, with economists expecting a 4.2% YoY jump.
For crypto traders, the danger is not only higher CPI.
The danger is the chain reaction.
Energy shock pushes inflation expectations higher.
Higher inflation keeps rate cut hopes weaker.
Weaker rate-cut hopes pressure risk assets.
Then BTC trades less like digital gold and more like high beta liquidity exposure.
That is why I would not only watch the CPI number.
I would watch how bonds, DXY, oil, and BTC react together after the release.
If BTC drops while oil and yields rise, that is macro pressure.
If BTC holds despite a hot print, that shows stronger demand underneath.
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