
Polymarket“鲍威尔4月发布会说Good Afternoon”概率高达98%,交易量超5.7万美元

Odaily Seer 先知频道监测显示, 在 Polymarket 关于“鲍威尔 4 月新闻发布会将会说什么”的预测事件中,购入“Good Afternoon”(下午好)的概率已升至 98.3%,由于成交价已接近 98.3¢,目前该事件总交易量为 57,749 美元。
相关背景方面,美联储主席鲍威尔即将召开 4 月货币政策新闻发布会。由于其任期将于下月中旬届满,本次发布会被视为其职业生涯的收官之作。根据历史经验,鲍威尔在每场发布会的开场阶段均会习惯性地向媒体问候“下午好”。尽管目前市场正处于高息环境压力下,但对于这种礼仪性用词的预测,建仓者表现出了极高的共识。
Odaily Seer 先知频道持续关注预测市场,在定价之前,看见变化。
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