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In-depth Analysis of Key Market Nodes Next Week The upcoming week is considered a critical watershed for market trends, with the overall capital flow and market direction primarily driven by two major core events that must be closely monitored. First, a major financial data release is expected: the Federal Reserve's April meeting minutes will be published at 2 AM on Thursday. Previously, the interest rate decision vote showed significant divergence, reaching a new high in internal disagreements over the years, making this minutes report a focal point for the market. The main focus is on three core areas: clarifying the differences in views within the Federal Reserve, checking if there are any voices leaning towards rate cuts, and understanding the general plan for interest rate adjustments in the second half of the year. If the overall tone leans towards easing, it will be positive for Bitcoin and other risk assets as well as the tech sector, leading to a rebound and rise; if the stance is more hawkish and tightening, U.S. Treasury yields will rise accordingly, and high-valuation AI-related sectors will face significant pressure and pullback. On the same day at 8:30 PM, U.S. unemployment claims and PMI economic data will be released to assess the actual cooling of the domestic economy. Weak economic data will further solidify market expectations for a rate cut in September; conversely, strong data means the high interest rate environment will persist longer. The other major highlight is Nvidia's earnings report released at 5 AM on Thursday, which will significantly influence global capital markets. The market will not focus heavily on revenue and profit but will closely watch four key points: whether global AI industry demand remains strong, progress on new chip development, the actual impact on business with China, and the company's overall operating outlook for upcoming quarters. Recently, chip-related regulatory news has been frequent, making the revenue data for related businesses in this earnings report especially critical. This report will directly influence the entire AI sector's trajectory and will also drive synchronized fluctuations in the crypto market. If earnings far exceed market expectations, U.S. tech stocks, computing power sectors, and related cryptocurrencies will rally; if data falls short, high-valued AI stocks will plunge first, and various global risk assets will weaken accordingly. Overall, market volatility next week will sharply increase. It is essential to remain cautious in operations, avoid heavy or full-position layouts, refrain from using leverage recklessly, and not blindly predict market direction. It is recommended to patiently wait for these two major events to conclude and for the market trend to become clear before making strategic moves. $BTC $ETH #美联储会议纪要+英伟达财报：5月20同日公布 #高盛清仓，机构持仓分化

Latest Analysis of the Middle East Situation Currently, the US has temporarily paused military actions against Iran, mainly due to mediation efforts by several Middle Eastern countries including Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, aiming to allow sufficient time to advance negotiations between both sides. Although the conflict is temporarily on hold, the US has not relaxed its vigilance. Senior officials have clearly stated that the military will remain on full alert. If subsequent negotiations fail to reach a mutually acceptable outcome, a large-scale operation could be launched at any time. The entire financial market is now focused on the Middle East situation, with the geopolitical tension having a wide-ranging impact: 1. Directly influencing international crude oil price trends 2. Changing the flow of market safe-haven funds 3. Increasing volatility in the crypto market 4. Affecting global overall investment risk sentiment The current overall situation remains very delicate and tense. If conflicts escalate again, the market will immediately trigger a safe-haven sell-off frenzy; conversely, if diplomatic communication progresses smoothly, various asset prices will see a short-term rebound and rise. $BTC $ETH #美联储会议纪要+英伟达财报：5月20同日公布 #高盛清仓，机构持仓分化

News Brief Two important pieces of news have emerged recently, revealing deep strategic layouts behind them. First, the new Federal Reserve head, Waller, is confirmed to hold the inauguration ceremony this Friday, personally attended and hosted by Trump. This inauguration is of high profile and was originally destined to be a key focus for the market over the weekend. Second, Trump has recently publicly taken a tough stance on Iran-related issues, clearly stating he will not make any compromises or concessions. The timing of these two events highly overlaps, with only a few days left before the new Federal Reserve head officially takes office. The sudden release of a tough external stance at this moment is very deliberate. If regional situations fluctuate afterward, all market attention will be drawn by geopolitical tensions, directly diverting the public focus from the Federal Reserve personnel changes. From the crypto market perspective, short-term sentiment can gain some support to stabilize the situation. In the long run, the Federal Reserve’s personnel change means new directions for interest rates and market liquidity flows, which are core long-term factors influencing market trends. Overall, the combination of geopolitical conflicts and major financial personnel changes plunges the market environment into turmoil. Such uncertain situations have always been the easiest to trigger volatility in the crypto market and present excellent opportunities for speculative capital. Looking ahead, there are two possible scenarios: if the situation remains stable through Friday’s inauguration and no substantial conflicts erupt over the weekend, the market focus will return to expectations around the Federal Reserve’s new policies next week. However, if tensions or conflicts escalate during this period, the entire market logic will fundamentally change. In summary, recent news is highly volatile; everyone must closely monitor real-time developments. The current situation hides deep strategic intentions, and market trends may change at any time. $BTC $ETH #美联储会议纪要+英伟达财报：5月20同日公布 #高盛清仓，机构持仓分化

Market Trend Personal Analysis Considering the overall market trend, the price rebound starting around the 76000 level is clearly weak. The recent upward peak stopped at the 77300 range, with an overall upward space of only about 1300 points. The insufficient momentum means the bearish trend has not ended, and there is still room for further decline. Previously, I mentioned that the market would most likely reach the critical 76000 level. Yesterday's market failed to break below it smoothly, but based on the current trend pace, there is still a chance for a breakout today. Once the price effectively breaks below this point, the focus should shift to the strong support zone between 74000 and 75000. If the price can hold steady in this zone during a pullback, the market will inevitably see a new round of rebound. From a technical pattern perspective, the current price has already deviated below the lower Bollinger Band. This rebound is likely to be stronger than the previous minor rise around 76000, but the final upward extent still depends on real-time market movements. Additionally, attention should be paid to the capital flow released during this decline. If there is a significant volume increase during the drop, the subsequent rebound will likely test the upper trapped stop-loss orders. The 76000 to 79000 range has the potential to be reached during this rebound. If the market rallies again to the high zone of 78000-79000, this will be an excellent opportunity to short on the highs. It is very likely the last high-level shorting chance in this round of the market. After this rebound completes, the market could easily enter a sustained one-sided downtrend. The only uncertainty now is the actual strength of the low-level rebound, so patience is required to wait for clearer trend signals. The overall trading strategy remains consistent: prioritize shorting with the trend at highs and avoid lightly entering long positions at lows. After all, the market always carries sudden risks, and blindly bottom-fishing can easily lead to deep losses. $BTC $ETH #美联储会议纪要+英伟达财报：5月20同日公布 #高盛清仓，机构持仓分化

Summary of Justin Sun's Past Investment Advice and Predictions for the Next Decade As early as 2016, Justin Sun proposed a unique asset allocation strategy targeting the post-90s generation. He publicly advised young people not to rush into buying real estate but instead focus on high-quality assets like Bitcoin, Nvidia, Tesla, and Tencent. At that time, housing prices in first-tier Chinese cities like Beijing were rapidly rising, and the real estate market was widely recognized as a prime investment choice. Therefore, Justin Sun's views, which broke away from mainstream thinking, faced significant controversy and skepticism. Ten years later, in 2026, Justin Sun predicted three core development directions for ordinary people to achieve social mobility over the next decade: 1. Identity track transformation: Move away from traditional physical and basic intellectual labor models to become collaborators with AI intelligent agents, leveraging AI tools to enhance personal value; 2. Deep cultivation of emerging fields: Focus on the niche and potential track of physical AI, discovering high-quality assets that the market has yet to recognize and that have value appreciation potential; 3. Updating asset cognition: Abandon rigid, outdated asset investment mindsets, avoid sticking to traditional investment tracks, and prevent choosing wrong development and investment directions due to lagging cognition. $BTC $ETH #三星罢工倒计时：KOSPI熔断，日损$7亿 #特朗普持续施压伊朗：国际油价直线拉升

Core Trading Principles in the Crypto Sphere: Quit Relying on Luck, Strictly Follow Rules for Long-Term Profitability Looking at the vast majority of traders in the crypto space who suffer liquidation losses, the most common excuse after losing is blaming bad luck. But in reality, trading losses are never accidental; they are the result of accumulated bad trading habits over time. Many traders have a huge misconception about 100x leverage and feel fearful when hearing about high leverage. But those who truly understand trading know that high leverage itself is not scary. As long as we control position size and only use 1% of total capital for 100x trades, the overall risk is completely manageable. The real culprit behind investors’ total wipeouts and frequent liquidations is the combination of high leverage and heavy position sizes. If you use 100x leverage and simultaneously invest more than 50% of your capital in a single trade, liquidation is inevitable. This is not a market movement issue but a self-imposed operational mode, equivalent to actively choosing liquidation. Besides that, not cutting losses is the most fatal bad habit among crypto traders and the dumbest way to lose money. Most people’s loss patterns are exactly the same: when losing slightly by 3%, they hold on hoping for a turnaround; when losses widen to 8%, they firmly believe the market will rebound and stubbornly refuse to cut losses; when losses reach 15%, they give up completely and plan to hold long-term. But usually, a sudden sharp drop wipes the account to zero, resulting in total loss. Having worked deeply in trading for years, I have always adhered to one iron rule: the loss on a single trade must never exceed 2% of total capital. Even if you make three consecutive wrong calls, the total loss is only 6%, and the main capital remains intact. As long as the capital is still there, the market always offers chances to recover and turn things around. But if you hold a heavy position and lose more than half your capital in one go, no matter how professional your trading skills are, it’s very hard to recover losses and reverse the situation. Compared to strict stop-loss rules, my take-profit method is simpler and more pragmatic, focusing on securing gains and not greedily chasing extreme moves: When a position gains 20%, prioritize closing half to lock in profits; When profits surge to 50%, reduce positions again in batches to secure some gains; Leave a small remaining position to freely ride market fluctuations and capture residual profits. There is never a concept of eating all the profits in the trading market; giving up the last uncertain portion of gains is how you firmly root yourself in the market and survive long-term. The crypto market never lacks profitable trends and opportunities; what’s missing are traders who can survive steadily and wait for the right market moves. Many people are not incapable of making money; after small profits, they lose everything due to greed, luck, and breaking rules during market pullbacks, even losing principal. In fact, there is no mystical strategy or secret technique in trading. The core is precise position control, strict stop-loss execution, and adherence to trading rules. In the end, trading is never about intuition or gut feeling but absolute discipline and unchanging trading rules. Abandon subjective feelings and stick to your trading system—that is the foundation of long-term profitability. $BTC $ETH #三星罢工倒计时：KOSPI熔断，日损$7亿 #特朗普持续施压伊朗：国际油价直线拉升

BTC sharply dropped to the strong support at 76600 in the early session; subsequent trading advice Bitcoin experienced a significant decline in the early session, with the price directly falling back to the key strong support level of 76600. Many are concerned about whether a rebound will follow. From the short-term hourly chart perspective, the price has stayed above 76600 for five consecutive hours, indicating that this support level remains effective for now, with no breakdown occurring. However, there are still considerable risks in the current market. The price has only slightly stabilized above the support level, and the support strength is very weak. There is no sign of a strong rebound yet. In terms of trading strategy, it is advisable to prioritize observation at this stage and avoid entering the market blindly. If the market stabilizes and rebounds, and successfully breaks through the resistance at 78700, then consider going long while strictly setting stop-loss orders. In the current weak and volatile market, patiently waiting for clear rebound signals before taking action is the safer choice. $BTC $ETH #三星罢工倒计时：KOSPI熔断，日损$7亿 #特朗普持续施压伊朗：国际油价直线拉升

Key Market Highlights This Week (Stock Market, Crypto, Gold) The overall market trend this week doesn't require complex analysis; the market is basically driven by three key events, which are the core variables all traders must closely monitor. First, the risk in the Middle East is escalating, and the US and Israel may take action against Iran. If the conflict intensifies, international oil prices will rise accordingly, further increasing market inflation pressure, and the Federal Reserve's expectation of rate cuts this year will basically be dashed. This is overall negative for equity markets, crypto markets, and gold, with most major asset classes likely to face simultaneous pressure and weakness. Second, the Federal Reserve meeting minutes will be released on Thursday, marking the last key minutes during Powell's term. The market is currently highly sensitive; if the text contains any language related to rate hikes, risk markets will immediately experience severe volatility, and market fluctuations will be quickly amplified. Third, Nvidia is about to release its latest earnings report, which will directly determine the short-term strength of the AI sector. If the earnings exceed expectations, the AI and tech sectors will drive an overall market recovery; if the data falls short, the entire tech sector may weaken collectively, dragging down the broader market. From the current state of major markets, the overall direction is very unclear with no definitive main theme. US stocks remain strong at high levels; even if there is a single-day pullback, it has not broken the seven-week consecutive bullish structure. The crypto market is currently in a clear consolidation and wait-and-see phase, with ETF funds continuously flowing out and market trading sentiment low; most investors are lying low waiting for a clear direction. Gold remains in a wide range of oscillation with repeated ups and downs, making short-term trends extremely difficult to judge. In summary, the safest trading approach this week is mainly to wait and watch. Before the three key events fully unfold and market risks are completely digested, do not blindly enter the market to speculate. At this stage, actively chasing trades and frequent operations are basically equivalent to passively taking over positions and bearing unnecessary loss risks. $BTC $ETH #三星罢工倒计时：KOSPI熔断，日损$7亿 #特朗普持续施压伊朗：国际油价直线拉升

The current market trading sentiment is even more subdued than the coldest point of the last bear market (around December 2022). It’s important to note that the prices of several major mainstream cryptocurrencies are still far above the levels at that time. BTC: Looking back at the bottom of the last cycle, the daily average trading volume of BTC/USDT on OKX was around $500 million, but recently it has sharply shrunk to about $120 million. Despite this, the current BTC price is still 4.5 times that of the last bottom. The maximum drawdown in the previous bear market reached -75%, while the drawdown from the peak to now in this cycle is -38%. If we simply follow historical patterns, the bottom of this cycle might be around $31,000? ETH: At the bottom of the last cycle, the daily average trading volume of ETH/USDT on OKX was still close to $100 million, but now it’s only about $50 million. The current ETH price is roughly 1.7 times that of the last bottom. The maximum drop last cycle was also -75%, while the decline from the high to now in this cycle is about -54%. Following this logic, the bottom support for this cycle might be around $1,150? $BTC $ETH #特朗普持续施压伊朗：国际油价直线拉升 #三星罢工倒计时：KOSPI熔断，日损$7亿

US Stock Market Risk Warning and Crypto Market Operation Analysis Currently, multiple key crash warning indicators in the US stock market have successively reached high critical values. The market has not experienced a substantial plunge, mainly due to stabilization efforts related to the election. To preserve the midterm election situation, relevant parties continuously use policy guidance, market news releases, and diplomatic situation control to deliberately maintain the stability of the US stock market and sustain a superficial prosperous market trend; meanwhile, Wall Street capital giants accompanying the visit have also cooperated through multi-party interest games and exchanges to jointly support market confidence and delay the outbreak of risks. There are two extremely dangerous signals in the current market that all investors should be highly alert to: First, the Buffett Indicator for the US stock market has climbed to about 230%, far exceeding the normal reasonable valuation range, reaching a historically rare extreme overvaluation level. The market bubble has peaked; Second, the Gates Foundation recently completely liquidated its Microsoft stock holdings, finishing the last sale of 7.7 million shares on Friday. It should be noted that a year ago, Microsoft was the foundation's top heavy holding, with a position of 28.5 million shares valued at over $10.7 billion. In just one year, the entire heavy position was cleared, which is not a conventional reduction but a highly warning risk signal. Looking at the crypto trading operation side, with the related visit successfully concluded, the previously relatively moderate US stance toward Iran is very likely to completely reverse, and subsequent actions may directly escalate to military-related operations. This sudden variable will severely impact the crypto market, either causing long positions to liquidate en masse or gradually absorbing investor margin through slow oscillating declines, ultimately completing a comprehensive market liquidity clearance. $BTC $ETH #三星罢工倒计时：KOSPI熔断，日损$7亿 #特朗普持续施压伊朗：国际油价直线拉升