Henry科崽

Don't just focus on the K-line next week‼️ What really determines the direction of BTC, US stocks, and crude oil might be these few things⬇️ CPI, Strait of Hormuz, AI earnings reports — the global capital battle is about to begin

Market Analysis: $BTC (2026-5-9) Lately, I've only been looking at daily and higher time frame candlestick charts, so don't try to catch long opportunities on lower time frames～ For those shorting with me above, place your stop loss just above the previous wick tip. If it breaks through, wait for a higher level to go short. If it doesn't break, you can add to your short position, continuing the rolling strategy. You just need to find a suitable high point and slowly add positions, ensuring no liquidation risk. The position to add to shorts above is around 80900, but first, we need to observe the actual situation of this small rebound.

Market Trend Analysis: $BTC (2026-5-8) No point analyzing nonsense, yesterday morning's analysis clearly stated that the current movement resembles the previous rebound 📈, short positions have already been entered, and no short-term long opportunities are expected. Just firmly hold the short positions; there is still a lot of support below since the price has been breaking through continuously. Going forward, more buyers will increase their positions because the cost-effectiveness of going long from below is maximized. This is also a meat grinder for the bulls, constantly creating long opportunities for you, then continuously breaking down 📉

Market Trend Analysis: $BTC (2026-5-7) Yesterday on the daily chart, it closed with a long upper wick, so I directly entered a first-position short‼️ The stop loss for this short is set above yesterday's daily wick tip. If it breaks above, I'll look for another position to short📉 The current movement looks very similar to the previous consolidation and upward trend. Personally, I feel it's almost at the top～ Trading Strategy: If today's daily candle closes bearish, everyone can directly enter a first-position short with the same stop loss as mine.

What? You’re telling me that because the funding rate is negative, the shorts have accumulated too much, which could cause Bitcoin to directly surge to an all-time high??? The big names are bearish; this recent rise is a classic tactic to squeeze market liquidity. A negative funding rate can indeed trigger a short-term rally, but you need to understand how long this rally can last. If it’s only due to a negative funding rate, then it’s just a tail-end bullish move～ Currently, the best position to short is around 86, entering with the first position, and then adding heavily as it goes up～📉

Analysis post. It's a bit lengthy, so those with patience can read it, and those without can check out my "plain talk" below. 1️⃣ Currently, I believe the rise is a "manufactured bull market," creating a situation of continuous highs and strong bullish sentiment to attract more capital into the market. 2️⃣ The small double bottom at 59 is not enough to support a bull reversal; a price surge to 126,000 is definitely not something that a weekly double bottom pattern can sustain.~ 3️⃣ Don't take me as a guide for bears; I'm just making trades that I believe are right. I'm not stubborn; I'm just going with the flow.

Market Analysis: $BTC (2026-5-6) The following analysis will be conducted from a weekly or daily perspective. I know everyone is waiting for my "bearish analysis," but in reality, I'm not stubbornly trying to short; rather, I'm trading human psychology. Because if we really only look at the technicals and the funding situation, it is still a bull market at the moment.~ Weekly Perspective: It's a simple logic. Last week's candlestick closed as a doji bearish candle, which indicates that when facing resistance above, bears unleashed a massive sell-off, but ultimately, bulls dominated this victory, maintaining the price near the resistance level (which facilitates further breakout 📈). This is also the core reason why we can directly break through this week. From a technical standpoint, we have just broken through significant resistance with increased volume, and we are still in the early stages of going long.~ Key Point‼️ However, my bearish logic still stands, as the weekly level shows two bottoms from previous declines, including the current bottom at 59, which appears to be a double bottom pattern. In reality, it is not sufficient to support the violent influx of bullish funds, so I firmly remain bearish, focusing on a medium to long-term short. Currently, we are only following a script for a small new high. The higher the price goes, the more it attracts funds, which is better for the funds that accumulated earlier to exit.

Still the same saying: it will definitely drop 📉, but it won't drop easily. $BTC I'm not leading everyone to try to catch the top; my rolling strategy is based on the idea that the market will never blow up my plan. I layout my positions in what I believe is the right direction and ultimately wait for the right moment. Remember a few points: 1️⃣ The bottom of 59 will definitely not be the bottom of this bear market. 2️⃣ We are still in a bear market 📉. 3️⃣ The ultimate destination of finance is liquidation, not supported by faith. Stop talking about micro strategies and continuous accumulation~ Do you know what it means to build a road openly while secretly crossing the river? If everything is as the public sees on the surface, how do institutions make money?

Market Analysis: $BTC (2026-5-5) In fact, from a daily perspective, the market is currently completely controlled by the bulls, and the upward movement is just the beginning. The cost-effectiveness of going long is higher. However, the more it is like this, the more one must be cautious of bull traps. Everyone sees the upcoming phase of oscillation and upward movement, which is very similar to the current trend. At that time, it also broke through the bottom oscillation, slowly rising 📈, and broke through the daily new high, but still ended up with a bearish pin 📉. Personally, the highest point I see currently is around 85919, and I won't look for anything higher – the MACD has also reached the oversold area of the last price. Moreover, based on the recent severe impact of international situations (the Iran-US war), I am not very optimistic about the subsequent market trend ～

I know that once it hits 80,000, it will give most people in the market greater confidence in a "bull return". For those who don't understand the technology, holding onto their spot without selling, it should be quite difficult to stay firm this time around～ For those who understand technical analysis, seeing a breakthrough of multiple resistance levels, they start looking for pullback points to go long, feeling that the cost-effectiveness of going short is not high～ But if you are willing to believe me, please disregard the noise in the market and follow me to complete this wave of rolling short positions! $BTC